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Hard Power Matters

Matthew Savill | 2026.03.10

Aside from policy differences with the US, the UK’s Armed Forces’ size and capacity make difficult any large UK involvement in war with Iran.

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Deterrence At Scale

Luis Simón | 2026.03.10

As Russia and China pressure U.S. allies, deterrence increasingly depends on factories, not just forces. The answer lies not in identical arsenals, but in selectively integrated defense industries to produce the right capabilities at scale.

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Russia’s Nuclear Exports

Jane Nakano | 2026.03.06

Russia’s nuclear export strategy and outlook are profoundly strained by western sanctions and rising competition from China.

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“20:40:40” Solution

Laurence Thomson | 2026.03.06

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has brutally validated an old truth about modern war: it requires not just military forces in the field but the societal ability to regenerate, outproduce and outlast.

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Fog, Proxies And Uncertainty

Louise Marie Hurel | 2026.03.05

As Operations Epic Fury and Roaring Lion develop, several dimensions of cyber activity demand attention and careful qualification.

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Sustainability For Resilience

Dan Marks and Ed Arnold | 2026.03.04

At the 2025 NATO Summit in The Hague, allies agreed to spend a total of 5% of their GDP on defence by 2035, with 3.5% allocated to core military expenditures and 1.5% to security-related spending, including civil preparedness and resilience.

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AI Supply Chain Issues

Melina Beykou | 2026.03.04

To ensure that our most advanced systems do not become our Achilles’ heel, securing AI supply chains must be a focus for users and policy makers.

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Israel’s “Roaring Lion”

Alaa Zoubi | 2026.03.03

The military operations against Iran have killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and begun a war that threatens to engulf the region, marking Roaring Lion and Epic Fury as significant actions.

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Great Liquidation

Maksym Beznosiuk and William Dixon | 2026.03.03

Its ammunition spent on Ukraine, Russia can no longer act on the world stage. The Moscow-Tehran axis is collapsing in real time.

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